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銅陵恒大今日電影 預測一下國安主場對恒大的天王山之戰的比分?

來源:中國益民機械網編輯:林禹辰時間:2021-10-24 05:43:54
預測一下國安主場對恒大的天王山之戰的比分?謝謝您的邀請!國安很可能主場大比分落敗,甚至會出現諸0-4、0-5之類的懸殊比分。這個結果很難令國安球迷接受,也不屑認可,但我認為出現這種情況的概率非常大。不是國安不強,而是雙方的實力對比以及戰術打法導致國安被壓制。8月11日進行的中超聯賽第23輪國安主場迎戰恒大,被認為是天王山之戰,也叫榜首之戰。這兩支中超強隊之間的每一次較量,都會吸引無數人的關注。此次國安剛換新帥,又引新援,且是主場作戰,按理不會出現這種太過懸殊的比分。有些網友甚至拿上半賽季雙方的比賽來比較,說明國安的不但能夠與恒大一較高低,甚至擊敗對手也并非意外。但實事求是地說,勢易時矣!當時的恒大,正值塔利斯卡因傷缺陣、恒大的新陣容磨合期未滿,卡帥的臨場指揮也還略顯稚嫩。再說了,國安當時兵強馬壯、陣容齊整,雙方的實力確實是向國安傾斜。時至今日,實力對比發生了根本性的變化。兵強馬壯的一方是恒大、陣容不整的是國安。不說郜林、塔利斯卡傷愈復出后只能打替補,也不說聯賽過了2/3后卡帥的指揮水平高了多少。單只說國安缺了比埃拉,很可能就是致命的硬傷。國安新援費爾南多的拿球、控制能力基本如人所料,但也并沒有高出太多。最令人遺憾的是,即使費爾南多能夠穩守后腰,奧古斯托到了前場之后國安的進球難問題依舊難以解決。缺少了比埃拉中路的犀利突破,國安就像一桿銀樣臘槍頭,光鮮無比,但刺不傷人,最后一擊乏力。而在防守端,國安的兩個邊路、兩個肋部的空檔非常大。沒有樸成,國安的前場只靠奧古斯托顯然獨力難支。但樸成在場,國安的防守能力明顯下降了一個檔次。呂鵬勇猛有余,技巧不足。令人奇怪的是,李可最近不受國安待見,除非是主帥的戰略安排,即蓄力為此一戰。否則池忠國與費爾南多的后腰組合,顯然無法阻止恒大眾多的攻擊手。國安防守的另一個問題在兩個邊后衛,特別是左后衛。一是與后腰的結合部易被對手打穿,聯賽第20輪客場0-1負于建業之戰,國安全場占優,也獲得多次破門良好,但不是打門中柱就是屢失機會。建業一次前場搶斷之后打反擊,兩名外援之間的配合就徹底擊潰了國安的中路防守,奧汗德扎最后在國安的禁區內晃過3名防守球員射門得手。第19輪,巴坎布多次吐餅之后,國安的肋部以及左右兩個邊后衛的防守屢屢被特謝拉突破,終至第35分鐘于大寶防守特謝拉時禁區內犯規被罰點球,并由埃德爾一蹴而就。0-1失利后,國安也拱手讓出了中超積分榜的首位。相比于國安的攻不力、守不穩,恒大則是完全相反一個態勢。最近5輪比賽,3-0泰達、4-1一方、5-0富力、3-0人和、3-0魯能,無論是主場還是客場,除了對陣一方時丟了一球外,全部零封對手。18個進球,更是讓人對恒大恐怖無比的進攻火力驚駭不已。埃爾克森、韋世豪、楊立瑜、保利尼奧等4人已經成為恒大進攻線上的標配,幾乎是無堅不摧、佛見殺佛的變態存在。恒大的防守不止是防守球員的事,而是全員防守、層層防守。除了防守動作的兇狠,更多的是防守的意識、體能和速度,以及卡納瓦羅的戰術要求。對手無論是從邊路還是中路,很難突破恒大的密集、交叉的立體式防守鏈。而恒大邊、中結合、快慢結合的進攻模式,一旦搶斷成功,任何地點都有可能成為它的進攻發起點。比如埃爾克森的搶點、楊立瑜的助攻、韋世豪的突破、保利尼奧的中路插上,以及黃博文中后場的長傳球打身后等等,又最大限度地減輕了后防線的防守壓力。恒大球員閱讀比賽能力之強,即使在魯能的客場,即使上半場相對被動,依然3球擊敗對手,成為本賽季恒大4次與之對壘的最大分差(90分鐘內)。可見經過大半個賽季的歷練,現在的恒大早已不再是上半賽季那個恒大了。如果還以老黃歷、老眼光看問題,勢必判斷失誤、吃更大的虧。除非熱內西奧真的有什么神機妙算,否則,兩天之后的較量,國安將會場面極為被動、全場被壓制。自己的特點打不出,對方的長處又無法抑制,最后只能是眼巴巴地看出鄒德海一次次從網窩里把皮球撿出來。要是塔利斯卡狀態回勇,撤下樸志洙,增加前場進攻火力,以埃爾克森、塔利斯卡和韋世豪、楊立瑜等人的能力,恒大的攻勢只能用縱橫捭闔來形容了。借用并且修改一句電影臺詞作結:不是國軍無能,而是共軍太厲害!(今日頭條悟空獨稿,未經許可禁止轉載!圖片來自網絡,如有侵權,請聯系刪除。謝謝!)
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